Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000114 0.000125 0.000138 0.000152 0.000168 0.000185 0.000204
2026-01-11 0.000091 0.000107 0.000126 0.000150 0.000179 0.000213 0.000255
2026-01-18 0.000077 0.000097 0.000120 0.000151 0.000191 0.000240 0.000308
2026-01-25 0.000067 0.000087 0.000113 0.000149 0.000197 0.000260 0.000352
2026-02-01 0.000060 0.000081 0.000109 0.000148 0.000205 0.000283 0.000400
2026-02-08 0.000054 0.000074 0.000103 0.000146 0.000209 0.000299 0.000441
2026-02-15 0.000048 0.000069 0.000098 0.000143 0.000211 0.000312 0.000479
2026-02-22 0.000045 0.000066 0.000096 0.000144 0.000219 0.000336 0.000534
2026-03-01 0.000042 0.000063 0.000095 0.000146 0.000230 0.000363 0.000599
2026-03-08 0.000039 0.000059 0.000090 0.000143 0.000230 0.000374 0.000636
2026-03-15 0.000035 0.000055 0.000085 0.000138 0.000228 0.000380 0.000666
2026-03-22 0.000033 0.000053 0.000084 0.000139 0.000236 0.000404 0.000730
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000141 0.000245 0.000431 0.000804
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000139 0.000247 0.000448 0.000863
2026-04-12 0.000028 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000255 0.000474 0.000943
2026-04-19 0.000026 0.000044 0.000076 0.000137 0.000257 0.000490 0.001005
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000137 0.000263 0.000514 0.001086
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000040 0.000072 0.000135 0.000264 0.000528 0.001148
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000038 0.000069 0.000132 0.000263 0.000539 0.001204
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000037 0.000068 0.000133 0.000271 0.000569 0.001309
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000036 0.000068 0.000135 0.000282 0.000607 0.001438
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000132 0.000280 0.000616 0.001496
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000062 0.000128 0.000276 0.000617 0.001535